Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Midland · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Midland are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Acassuso are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Midland hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 40.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.8% in the Primera Nacional, while Midland holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Midland
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
27.8%
Midland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60