Middlesbrough U21vs
Juventus U21
COMPLETEDWorld · Premier League International Cup · 9/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Middlesbrough U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Middlesbrough U21 1-0 Juventus U21
Original prediction
Middlesbrough U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 12:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.2% | 45.8% | 6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.1% | 25.1% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.51 | 35.7% | 29.0% | -6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Middlesbrough U21
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Middlesbrough U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.25/2.75