Middelfartvs
VSK Århus
COMPLETEDDenmark · 2. Division · 9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Middelfart · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Middelfart 1-1 VSK Århus
Original prediction
Middelfart
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.5% | 41.3% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.3% | 26.5% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.34 | 27.1% | 32.2% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Middelfart
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Middelfart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20