Middelfartvs
Skive
COMPLETEDDenmark · 2. Division · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Middelfart · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Middelfart 3-3 Skive
Original prediction
Middelfart
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.4% | 44.1% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.2% | 28.1% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 3.87 | 23.4% | 27.8% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.59 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Middelfart
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Middelfart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00