Middelfartvs
Roskilde
COMPLETEDDenmark · 2. Division · 10/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roskilde · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Middelfart 3-3 Roskilde
Original prediction
Roskilde
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 38.5% | 31.9% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.2% | 25.3% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 34.3% | 42.8% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.34 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Roskilde
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Roskilde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60