Middelfartvs
Fremad Amager
COMPLETEDDenmark · 2. Division · 9/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Middelfart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Middelfart 1-1 Fremad Amager
Original prediction
Middelfart
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 52.3% | 55.7% | 3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 24.1% | 22.6% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.86 | 23.6% | 21.8% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.78 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Middelfart
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
55.7%
Middelfart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40