Middelfartvs
FA 2000
COMPLETEDDenmark · 2. Division · 10/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Middelfart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 4-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Middelfart 1-0 FA 2000
Original prediction
Middelfart
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 58.3% | 54.9% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 23.8% | 24.1% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 5.06 | 17.8% | 21.1% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–012%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.4–010%
Predicted outcome
Middelfart
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Middelfart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40