GGOALVIO

Middelfart logoMiddelfartvsEsbjerg logoEsbjerg

COMPLETED

Denmark · 2. Division · 8/18/2023, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Esbjerg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Middelfart are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Esbjerg are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 4.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Middelfart hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 76.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the 2. Division, while Esbjerg holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Esbjerg

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

44.4%

Esbjerg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MiddelfartWWDDL

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
EsbjergWWWDW

GF 22 · GA 5 · avg 4.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
MiddelfartEsbjerg
100.0Attack95.8
83.3Defence61.5
100.0Form78.1
94.8Power76.7
1.45xG1.88
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