GGOALVIO

Denmark · 2. Division · 8/4/2023, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Middelfart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Middelfart are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Aarhus Fremad are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Middelfart hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 61.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the 2. Division, while Middelfart holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Middelfart

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Middelfart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MiddelfartDLLWW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Aarhus FremadWLL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
MiddelfartAarhus Fremad
100.0Attack65.6
83.3Defence57.3
100.0Form61.5
94.8Power61.4
1.68xG1.46
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