Miami FCvs
Sporting JAX
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 9/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Miami FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Miami FC 4-1 Sporting JAX
Original prediction
Miami FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 60.2% | 52.8% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.26 | 21.5% | 24.0% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 5.01 | 18.3% | 23.3% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Miami FC
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Miami FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00