GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/28/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rhode Island · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Miami FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Rhode Island are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rhode Island hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the USL Championship, while Rhode Island holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rhode Island

Probability

49.3%

Model confidence

49.3%

Rhode Island has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Miami FCWDLWW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Rhode IslandLDWLL

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Miami FCRhode Island
40.0Attack52.9
46.7Defence62.7
36.7Form49.0
43.5Power55.0
0.93xG1.60
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