Miami FCvs
Rhode Island
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 3/28/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rhode Island · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Miami FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Rhode Island are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rhode Island hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the USL Championship, while Rhode Island holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rhode Island
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Rhode Island has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40