Miami FCvs
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 9/6/2026, 2:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pittsburgh Riverhounds · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Miami FC 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Miami FC 2-2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Original prediction
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.90 | 31.5% | 25.9% | -5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.3% | 28.2% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 39.2% | 45.9% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.12 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Projected Score
Miami FC 0–1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60