Miami FCvs
Phoenix Rising
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 4/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Phoenix Rising · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Miami FC are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Phoenix Rising are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Phoenix Rising hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.7% in the USL Championship, while Phoenix Rising holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Phoenix Rising
Probability
34.7%
Model confidence
34.7%
Phoenix Rising has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20