GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/18/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New Mexico United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Miami FC are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.33 conceded, while New Mexico United are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and New Mexico United hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the USL Championship, while New Mexico United holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New Mexico United

Probability

51.1%

Model confidence

51.1%

New Mexico United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Miami FCDLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/2.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
New Mexico UnitedDWWDW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Miami FCNew Mexico United
40.0Attack52.1
46.7Defence64.6
36.7Form62.5
43.5Power61.2
0.86xG1.61
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