Miami FCvs
Loudoun United
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Miami FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Miami FC 0-2 Loudoun United
Original prediction
Miami FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 13:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.9% | 47.0% | -5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.97 | 23.0% | 25.3% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.79 | 24.1% | 27.8% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Miami FC
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Miami FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00