Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Tulsa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Miami FC are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while FC Tulsa are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Tulsa hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the USL Championship, while FC Tulsa holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Tulsa
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
FC Tulsa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.67/1.67