Miami FCvs
Charleston Battery
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charleston Battery · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Miami FC 1-2 Charleston Battery
Original prediction
Charleston Battery
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.09 | 29.6% | 23.4% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.8% | 21.6% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.01 | 45.5% | 55.0% | 9.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Charleston Battery
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
Charleston Battery has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00