Mgarr Unitedvs
Tarxien Rainbows
COMPLETEDMalta · Challenge League · 9/13/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tarxien Rainbows · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mgarr United 0-0 Tarxien Rainbows, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mgarr United 1-3 Tarxien Rainbows
Original prediction
Tarxien Rainbows
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.69 | 33.3% | 34.8% | 1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.0% | 28.2% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 40.6% | 37.0% | -3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Projected Score
Mgarr United 0–0 Tarxien Rainbows
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Tarxien Rainbows
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Tarxien Rainbows has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60