Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Žilina II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: MFK Bytča 0-2 Žilina II, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
MFK Bytča 1-2 Žilina II
Original prediction
Žilina II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.90 | 23.4% | 11.5% | -11.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 23.7% | 19.5% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 1.73 | 52.9% | 69.0% | 16.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.1 pts
Projected Score
MFK Bytča 0–2 Žilina II
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Žilina II
Probability
69.0%
Model confidence
69.0%
Žilina II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MFK BytčaLWLDL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Žilina IIDWLWL
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MFK BytčaŽilina II
26.7Attack40.0
6.7Defence70.0
20.0Form56.7
22.6Power57.6
0.47xG1.94