Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Humenné · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: MFK Bytča 0-1 Humenné, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
MFK Bytča 4-1 Humenné
Original prediction
Humenné
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 15:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.91 | 31.1% | 26.9% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.9% | 28.3% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 42.0% | 44.8% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Projected Score
MFK Bytča 0–1 Humenné
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Humenné
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Humenné has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MFK BytčaLLWLD
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HumennéLDDLL
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MFK BytčaHumenné
27.3Attack18.2
9.1Defence54.5
18.2Form24.2
22.8Power35.5
0.78xG1.24