MFK Bytčavs
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
COMPLETEDSlovakia · 2. liga · 9/19/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-3 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
MFK Bytča 2-1 Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Original prediction
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.44 | 16.6% | 13.4% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.24 | 21.3% | 18.4% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 1.46 | 62.1% | 68.2% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–310%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Probability
68.2%
Model confidence
68.2%
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00