Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šamorín · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-3 (11%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
MFK Bytča 1-2 Šamorín
Original prediction
Šamorín
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.02 | 13.0% | 13.2% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.54 | 20.0% | 18.3% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 1.36 | 67.0% | 68.5% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–311%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Šamorín
Probability
68.5%
Model confidence
68.5%
Šamorín has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MFK BytčaLWWLL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ŠamorínWWWLW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MFK BytčaŠamorín
22.2Attack72.2
0.0Defence66.7
16.7Form83.3
18.4Power74.9
0.78xG2.70