Mezzolaravs
Terranuova Traiana
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie D - Girone E · 10/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mezzolara · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mezzolara 1-1 Terranuova Traiana
Original prediction
Mezzolara
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.4% | 38.3% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.2% | 29.0% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.87 | 31.4% | 32.7% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.98 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Mezzolara
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Mezzolara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60