Mezokovesd-zsoryvs
Ajka
COMPLETEDHungary · NB II · 10/14/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mezokovesd-zsory · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mezokovesd-zsory 1-1 Ajka
Original prediction
Mezokovesd-zsory
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 46.4% | 41.5% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.0% | 28.5% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.48 | 25.6% | 29.9% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.18 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Mezokovesd-zsory
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Mezokovesd-zsory has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60