GGOALVIO

World · Central American and Caribbean Games · 8/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mexico W · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Mexico W are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 2.67 scored and 0.00 conceded, while El Salvador W are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 0.67 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 6 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Mexico W hold a 33.7-point power-rating edge (85.9 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the Central American and Caribbean Games, while Mexico W holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mexico W

Probability

63.4%

Model confidence

12.6%

Mexico W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mexico WWWD

GF 8 · GA 0 · avg 2.67/0.00

BTTS 0/3O2.5 1/3
El Salvador WWLW

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.67/0.67

BTTS 0/3O2.5 0/3
Mexico WEl Salvador W
100.0Attack33.3
91.7Defence53.3
83.3Form60.0
85.9Power52.2
1.95xG0.78
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