World Cup
Mexico
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Mexico leads with 55% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Mexico head into this in World Cup fixture at Estadio Azteca in outstanding form (LWWWW), while South Africa arrive in mixed form (LWDL). Mexico have a 80% win rate across their last 5 matches, compared to 25% for South Africa over 4 games.
Both sides are defensively strong — Mexico (79/100) and South Africa (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.
Mexico have won 3 of their last 4 home fixtures, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game at home. South Africa have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.
Mexico have generated 1.31 xG per game recently while conceding 0.84 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. South Africa have generated 0.80 xG per game recently while conceding 1.11 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.
Mexico have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.
The GoalVio engine projects Mexico to win with 55% confidence. Win probabilities: Mexico 5494%, Draw 2323%, South Africa 2183%.
Head to head
Recent form
Mexico
South Africa
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Mexico vs South Africa?
GoalVio's model predicts Mexico to win with 55% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Mexico vs South Africa?
A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.
Will both teams score in Mexico vs South Africa?
BTTS prediction not yet available for this fixture.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Mexico vs South Africa?
Over 2.5 prediction not yet available for this fixture.