Meuxvs
Union Saint-Gilloise II
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 8/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Meux · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Meux 2-1 Union Saint-Gilloise II
Original prediction
Meux
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.3% | 43.3% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.2% | 27.3% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 30.5% | 29.4% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Meux
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Meux has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00