Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Meux · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Meux 0-1 RWDM
Original prediction
Meux
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.86 | 31.5% | 37.0% | 5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.1% | 27.2% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.23 | 40.4% | 35.9% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Meux
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Meux has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MeuxWWWDD
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RWDMWWWWL
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MeuxRWDM
58.3Attack58.3
83.3Defence91.7
83.3Form100.0
76.6Power85.8
1.40xG1.27