Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Meux · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Meux 2-1 Onhaye
Original prediction
Meux
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 46.8% | 50.3% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 24.9% | 25.2% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.15 | 28.3% | 24.5% | -3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Meux
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Meux has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MeuxLWWWD
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
OnhayeLWLWL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MeuxOnhaye
46.7Attack40.0
80.0Defence33.3
66.7Form40.0
65.7Power41.1
1.99xG0.92