Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metz · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Metz 0-0 Sochaux, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Metz 3-2 Sochaux
Original prediction
Metz
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 52.8% | 42.9% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 26.3% | 29.9% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 4.43 | 21.0% | 27.2% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.9 pts
Projected Score
Metz 0–0 Sochaux
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Metz
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Metz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MetzLDLWD
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SochauxDWDWD
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
MetzSochaux
50.0Attack20.8
54.2Defence75.0
41.7Form45.8
50.0Power50.0
0.94xG0.75