Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metz · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
17%
HighconfidenceMetz are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Laval are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and metz hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (65.2 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely result in the Ligue 2, favouring Metz with 16.6% confidence, a 37% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Metz
Probability
61.5%
Model confidence
16.6%
Metz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MetzWDLLD
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
LavalLWDWL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MetzLaval
61.9Attack35.1
67.6Defence60.5
64.8Form48.2
65.2Power50.0
1.64xG0.59