Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 15:01
Metz

Metz

Home
W
31
Full time
Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Fortuna Sittard33%
Metz33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Metz
33%
Draw
33%
Fortuna Sittard
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Metz
100
Fortuna Sittard
34
Defence
Metz
91
Fortuna Sittard
6
Momentum
Metz
100
Fortuna Sittard
0
Danger (xG)
Metz
5.40
Fortuna Sittard
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Metz)
5.40
avg per match
xG for (Fortuna Sittard)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Metz)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Fortuna Sittard)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
MetzMetz
W
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
LL

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Metz33%
Draw33%
Fortuna Sittard33%

Fortuna Sittard leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Metz head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (W), while Fortuna Sittard arrive in mixed form (L). Metz have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Fortuna Sittard over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Metz's elite attack (100/100) faces a vulnerable Fortuna Sittard defence (6/100), while Fortuna Sittard's attack is up against a watertight Metz backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Metz's favour.

Metz have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 6.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Fortuna Sittard have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Metz and Fortuna Sittard in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Metz 3333%, Draw 3333%, Fortuna Sittard 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Metz

Metz

W
vs Seraing United
17 Jul 2026
60
Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard

L
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
17 Jul 2026
13
L
@ Utrecht
17 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Metz vs Fortuna Sittard?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Metz vs Fortuna Sittard?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Metz vs Fortuna Sittard?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Metz vs Fortuna Sittard?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more