GGOALVIO

Latvia · 1. Liga · 4/25/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Metta / LU · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Metta / LU are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Smiltene are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Metta / LU hold a 53.8-point power-rating edge (80.4 v 26.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.4% in the 1. Liga, while Metta / LU holds the strongest overall chance at 93% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Metta / LU

Probability

92.8%

Model confidence

15.4%

Metta / LU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metta / LUWWWWW

GF 18 · GA 2 · avg 3.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
SmilteneDLDDL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Metta / LUSmiltene
100.0Attack39.6
70.8Defence10.4
85.4Form20.8
80.4Power26.5
4.50xG0.56
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