GGOALVIO

Latvia · Virsliga · 4/7/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

BFC Daugavpils · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Metta / LU are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while BFC Daugavpils are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and BFC Daugavpils hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (41.0 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Virsliga, while BFC Daugavpils holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

BFC Daugavpils

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

BFC Daugavpils has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metta / LUWWLWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BFC DaugavpilsWWLLD

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Metta / LUBFC Daugavpils
43.0Attack42.3
43.0Defence60.3
34.2Form46.2
41.0Power51.0
1.07xG1.37
View match centre →