South Australia NPLSouth Australia NPL
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:05
MetroStars

MetroStars

Home
D
13
Full time
West Adelaide

West Adelaide

Away
W
TK Shutter Reserve
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
MetroStars(40%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
MetroStars
40%
Draw
27%
West Adelaide
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
MetroStars
9
West Adelaide
94
Defence
MetroStars
91
West Adelaide
66
Momentum
MetroStars
33
West Adelaide
100
Danger (xG)
MetroStars
0.00
West Adelaide
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (MetroStars)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (West Adelaide)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (MetroStars)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (West Adelaide)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
MetroStarsMetroStars
D
West AdelaideWest Adelaide
WL

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
MetroStars40%
Draw27%
West Adelaide33%

MetroStars leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

MetroStars head into this in South Australia NPL fixture at TK Shutter Reserve in mixed form (D), while West Adelaide arrive in mixed form (W). MetroStars have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for West Adelaide over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — MetroStars (91/100) and West Adelaide (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

MetroStars have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per home match. West Adelaide have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between MetroStars and West Adelaide in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects MetroStars to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: MetroStars 3984%, Draw 2715%, West Adelaide 3301%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

MetroStars

MetroStars

D
vs Adelaide Comets
16 May 2026
00
West Adelaide

West Adelaide

W
vs Adelaide United II
7 Jun 2026
31
L
vs West Torrens Birkalla
16 May 2026
12

Frequently asked questions

Who will win MetroStars vs West Adelaide?

GoalVio's model predicts MetroStars to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for MetroStars vs West Adelaide?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in MetroStars vs West Adelaide?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in MetroStars vs West Adelaide?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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