MetroStarsvs
Sturt Lions
COMPLETEDAustralia · South Australia NPL · 6/13/2026, 7:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MetroStars · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
MetroStars are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sturt Lions are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and MetroStars hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (67.5 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the South Australia NPL, while MetroStars holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
MetroStars
Probability
76.3%
Model confidence
9.3%
MetroStars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20