GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 3/28/2026, 6:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MetroStars · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

MetroStars are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Para Hills Knights are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and MetroStars hold a 55.7-point power-rating edge (67.5 v 11.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 93.0% in the South Australia NPL, while MetroStars holds the strongest overall chance at 93% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

MetroStars

Probability

93.0%

Model confidence

93.0%

MetroStars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MetroStarsDWLWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Para Hills KnightsLLDLL

GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
MetroStarsPara Hills Knights
80.3Attack24.2
65.2Defence0.0
66.7Form3.0
67.5Power11.7
4.50xG0.50
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