GGOALVIO

Australia · Australia Cup · 8/4/2023, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MetroStars · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

MetroStars are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Inglewood United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and MetroStars hold a 63.6-point power-rating edge (70.6 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.8% in the Australia Cup, while MetroStars holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

MetroStars

Probability

57.8%

Model confidence

57.8%

MetroStars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MetroStarsWWWWW

GF 20 · GA 4 · avg 4.00/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Inglewood UnitedDLDWL

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MetroStarsInglewood United
77.8Attack0.0
77.8Defence0.0
66.7Form0.0
70.6Power7.0
2.80xG1.22
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