GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 3/4/2023, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MetroStars · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

MetroStars are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Campbelltown City are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and MetroStars hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (67.5 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.4% in the South Australia NPL, while MetroStars holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

MetroStars

Probability

74.4%

Model confidence

74.4%

MetroStars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MetroStarsLW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Campbelltown CityDW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
MetroStarsCampbelltown City
80.3Attack53.0
65.2Defence45.5
66.7Form43.9
67.5Power48.0
3.07xG0.98
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