MetroStarsvs
Adelaide Comets
COMPLETEDAustralia · South Australia NPL · 5/16/2026, 7:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MetroStars · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
MetroStars are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Adelaide Comets are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and MetroStars hold a 29.0-point power-rating edge (67.5 v 38.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.2% in the South Australia NPL, while MetroStars holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
MetroStars
Probability
83.2%
Model confidence
83.2%
MetroStars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 4 · avg 3.80/0.80
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40