GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 3/21/2026, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MetroStars · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

MetroStars are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Adelaide City are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide City hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (67.5 v 71.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the South Australia NPL, while MetroStars holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

MetroStars

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

MetroStars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MetroStarsWLWWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Adelaide CityDWWWD

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MetroStarsAdelaide City
80.3Attack66.7
65.2Defence75.8
66.7Form72.7
67.5Power71.7
1.54xG1.33
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