MetroStarsvs
Adelaide City
COMPLETEDAustralia · South Australia NPL · 3/21/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MetroStars · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
MetroStars are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Adelaide City are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide City hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (67.5 v 71.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the South Australia NPL, while MetroStars holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
MetroStars
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
MetroStars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00