GGOALVIO

Venezuela · Primera División · 8/9/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Metropolitanos FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while UCV are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Metropolitanos FC hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 52.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Primera División, favouring a draw with 14.1% confidence, a 44% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

30.8%

Model confidence

14.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metropolitanos FCWWLWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
UCVWLLLL

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Metropolitanos FCUCV
41.3Attack54.0
69.8Defence50.8
61.9Form50.8
59.9Power52.9
1.33xG0.87
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