Metropolitanos FCvs
Trujillanos FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 9/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metropolitanos FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Metropolitanos FC 1-0 Trujillanos FC, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Metropolitanos FC 4-1 Trujillanos FC
Original prediction
Metropolitanos FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 21:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 55.0% | 68.3% | 13.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.9% | 21.2% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 4.76 | 19.1% | 10.5% | -8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.4 pts
Projected Score
Metropolitanos FC 1–0 Trujillanos FC
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Metropolitanos FC
Probability
68.3%
Model confidence
68.3%
Metropolitanos FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80