Metropolitanos FCvs
Rayo Zuliano
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 10/10/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metropolitanos FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 3-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Metropolitanos FC 4-0 Rayo Zuliano
Original prediction
Metropolitanos FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 67.4% | 69.5% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.56 | 19.9% | 18.6% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 7.19 | 12.6% | 11.8% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.3–011%
Predicted outcome
Metropolitanos FC
Probability
69.5%
Model confidence
69.5%
Metropolitanos FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60