GGOALVIO

Venezuela · Primera División · 3/18/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Metropolitanos FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Metropolitanos FC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Monagas SC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Metropolitanos FC hold a 17.8-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 43.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.3% in the Primera División, while Metropolitanos FC holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Metropolitanos FC

Probability

54.3%

Model confidence

54.3%

Metropolitanos FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metropolitanos FCWWDWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Monagas SCWWDLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Metropolitanos FCMonagas SC
42.4Attack34.5
69.7Defence51.2
63.6Form35.7
60.9Power43.1
1.41xG0.54
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