GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/25/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Metropolitanos FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Metropolitanos FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lanus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Metropolitanos FC hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Metropolitanos FC holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Metropolitanos FC

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

Metropolitanos FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metropolitanos FCWWLDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LanusWDLLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Metropolitanos FCLanus
0.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence33.3
33.3Form50.0
45.3Power40.7
1.32xG0.98
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