GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/29/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Metropolitanos FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Metropolitanos FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Deportivo Garcilaso are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Metropolitanos FC hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Metropolitanos FC holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Metropolitanos FC

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Metropolitanos FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metropolitanos FCDWLWL

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Deportivo GarcilasoLLDDL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Metropolitanos FCDeportivo Garcilaso
0.0Attack0.0
100.0Defence33.3
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power15.3
1.38xG0.90
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