GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/11/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cuiaba · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Metropolitanos FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Cuiaba are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cuiaba hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 59.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Cuiaba holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cuiaba

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Cuiaba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metropolitanos FCDLLWL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CuiabaDDWWL

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Metropolitanos FCCuiaba
0.0Attack45.8
100.0Defence75.0
33.3Form54.2
45.3Power59.4
0.75xG1.10
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