Metropolitanos FCvs
Anzoátegui FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Copa Venezuela · 10/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metropolitanos FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Metropolitanos FC 1-1 Anzoátegui FC
Original prediction
Metropolitanos FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 October 2026 at 07:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 58.8% | 38.6% | -20.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.2% | 26.9% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 5.23 | 17.1% | 34.5% | 17.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.69 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–17%
Predicted outcome
Metropolitanos FC
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Metropolitanos FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00