4. liga - Divizie B4. liga - Divizie B
Wednesday, 10 June 2026Last updated 12:39
Meteor Praha

Meteor Praha

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Ústí nad Labem II

Ústí nad Labem II

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
50% confidence
Ústí nad Labem II(24%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Prediction missed— Result: Meteor Praha
Win probability
Meteor Praha
50%
Draw
26%
Ústí nad Labem II
24%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Meteor Praha
73
Ústí nad Labem II
34
Defence
Meteor Praha
66
Ústí nad Labem II
27
Momentum
Meteor Praha
100
Ústí nad Labem II
0
Danger (xG)
Meteor Praha
1.80
Ústí nad Labem II
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 2.67 xG for Meteor Praha and 1.19 xG for Ústí nad Labem II — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 2-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Meteor Praha holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's meaningful attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 3.87 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 2-1 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. Meteor Praha's Attack Score (73) vs Ústí nad Labem II's Defensive Stability (27) and Ústí nad Labem II's attack (34) vs Meteor Praha's defence (66) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.

xG for (Meteor Praha)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Ústí nad Labem II)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Meteor Praha)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Ústí nad Labem II)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Meteor PrahaMeteor Praha
WD
Ústí nad Labem IIÚstí nad Labem II
LD

Probability breakdown

50% confidence
Meteor Praha50%
Draw26%
Ústí nad Labem II24%

Meteor Praha leads with 50% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Meteor Praha Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Meteor Praha host Ústí nad Labem II in 4. liga - Divizie B. Meteor Praha have recorded LWLWLW in recent matches while Ústí nad Labem II arrive with a run of DWLLLL. These sides have met 4 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 2.67 expected goals for Meteor Praha against 1.19 for Ústí nad Labem II — a significant advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 🏟️ Home Advantage Goalvio applies an 8% xG boost for home teams based on empirical data showing home sides score 10–15% more goals at their own ground. Meteor Praha's Elo-adjusted home strength gives them a 61% expected score in this fixture — a factor that tips the balance when the underlying numbers are close.
: 📈 Recent Form Meteor Praha arrive in better recent form — 3 wins from 10 matches (LWLWLW) against Ústí nad Labem II's 1. Form over the last 5–6 games is one of the most predictive short-term signals in the model, capturing momentum that longer-term averages can miss.

Why GoalVio backs this

Meteor Praha are generating a dominant xG advantage — 2.67 projected against 1.19 for Ústí nad Labem II. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 1.48 is the clearest signal in the model that Meteor Praha are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: The model's projection is based on averages — individual moments of quality, tactical adjustments, or set-piece situations can always override statistical trends. Meteor Praha are favoured, but football rarely follows the script exactly.

Risk factors

  • Meteor Praha have been conceding 2.23 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Head to head

Meteor Praha 1Draws 00 Ústí nad Labem II
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
10 Jun 2026
Meteor Praha
W21
Ústí nad Labem II

Recent form

Meteor Praha

Meteor Praha

W
vs Ústí nad Labem II
10 Jun 2026
21
D
vs Štětí
17 May 2026
00
Ústí nad Labem II

Ústí nad Labem II

L
@ Meteor Praha
10 Jun 2026
12
D
vs Újezd Praha 4
16 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Meteor Praha vs Ústí nad Labem II?

GoalVio's model predicts Ústí nad Labem II to win with 50% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Meteor Praha vs Ústí nad Labem II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Meteor Praha vs Ústí nad Labem II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Meteor Praha vs Ústí nad Labem II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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